Senin, 01 Oktober 2007

Why Technical Analysis Works

· Extremely popular, and hence offers insight into what many traders are doing
· More clear-cut and less controversial than fundamental analysis
· A simple way of making trading decisions

Many traders believe that technical analysis is a self-fulfilling prophecy – in other words, it works solely because it is popular and is used by many traders. For example, many technical traders put a 20 day moving average line on charts not because the moving average itself is statistically important, but rather because it is an extremely common indicator used by active traders of all sizes. The rationale is simple: if so many traders are basing their decisions off moving averages and other indicators, then those indicators must be watched closely, for they offer insight into what a vast majority of traders in the market are doing. Because of this rationale, traders should focus on the most popular indicators in the trading community, and should use them in the most common way. This is the best way of tapping into the “psychology” of the market – in other words, it is a simple but highly effective way of understanding what other traders are up to, and how the market may move because of it. Contrary to popular belief, it is NOT a study that requires complex mathematics or computer algorithms. Rather, it is a study that requires looking at the same tools other traders use to understand what is happening in the market. Below is a list of the most common indicators, all of which will be covered in the lessons that follow:
• Key Candlestick Patterns
• Fibonacci Retracements
• Moving Averages
• RSI
• Stochastics
• MACD
• Bollinger Bands
While it may seem intimidating, technical analysis is actually fairly simple – often far simpler than fundamental analysis. It simply requires an abundance of the two traits that are most necessary to be a successful trader: discipline and patience.

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